Tuesday, April 17, 2012

BIG BOSS VIKAS PARSHURAM SAMWATSARE 


DATED 18/4/2012



BTST :- BFUITLITE @ 407.5-408.5 SL 399 TGT 418-424

GEPL Short Term Call: (3:00 PM) Buy Can Ba nk in Futures @ 483.50 with the SL of 463.50; 1st Target 503.50 / 2nd Target 513.50 (Time Frame: 1 Week)

Tanti Holdings stake in Suzlon Energy drops to 1.65 pc

 

Nifty may not see big upside happening in immediate term

ITC topples RIL as most-influential stock

 BTST :- ACC @ 1255-1257 SL 1240 TGT 1270-1278

Hero Motocorp is heading towards earlier highs of 2180-2200

Coal India rallies; some see trouble ahead

Sunday, March 11, 2012

  VIKAS PARSHURAM SAMWATSARE AND SAI PARSADAM SHARE TIPS BSETIPS NSETIPS
Buy Automotive Axles Ltd For Target 580

 DATED 11/3/12


Source: vikas parshuram samwatsare 
SYNOPSIS
- Automotive Axles Ltd. (AAL) is one of the largest independent manufacturers of Rear Drive Axle Assemblies in the country and with around 27 years of axle-producing experience.
- During the quarter ended, the robust growth of Net Profit is increased by 102.09% to Rs. 197.34 million.
- AAL has a QMS that is certified to ISO/TS 16949:2009 standard & also EMS that is certified to ISO 14001: 2004 standard.
- AAL exports axle parts to USA, France, Italy, China, Brazil and Australia.
- The products manufactured at AAL are based on technology provided by Meritor Inc., USA, through Meritor HVS (India) Ltd, India.
- Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 32% and 30% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.



Outlook and Conclusion
At the current market price of Rs.496.00, the stock is trading at 9.13 x FY12E and 7.75 x FY13E respectively.
Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY12E and FY13E is seen at Rs.54.33 and Rs.64.03 respectively.
Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 32% and 30% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.
On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 4.89 x for FY12E and 4.21 x for FY13E.
Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 2.30 x and 1.77 x respectively for FY12E and FY13E.
We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.560.00 for Medium to Long term investment.

 Sell Hindalco For Target 111



Source:vikas parshuram samwatsare
HINDALCO IND Ltd has been trading in a negative perspective. We can initiate short posi-tion in this stock at Rs.133 levels with target price of Rs.111.
Rational
- In last four week stock has been trading in a negative trend.
- In today’s trade stock fell more than 5% with high volume. And stock is trading below 200days and 50days EMAs.
- We can see negative divergence in weekly relative strength index (RSI)
- Weekly MACD histogram also suggesting possible down trend in stock price.
- We can initiate short positions in this stock at Rs.133 levels with target price of Rs.111, keep stop loss above Rs.143.
Max Gain : 44000 ; Max Loss : 20000 ( Profit or Loss based on one lot )


 Buy Kirloskar Pneumatic For Target 547


Source:vikas parshuram samwatsare
SYNOPSIS
Kirloskar Pneumatic Co. Ltd. (KPCL), part of the Kirloskar Group is a synonym for providing integrated solutions using Compression and Transmission Technologies.
During the quarter ended, the robust growth of Net Profit is increased by 44.79% to Rs. 115.40 million.
KPCL has decided to increase the Authorised Share Capital of the Company from Rs. 15 Crores to Rs. 40 Crores subject to the requisite
approval of the shareholders.
KPCL is one of the core group companies certified with an ISO 9001:2000, ISO 14001:2004, OHSAS 18001:2007 Company.
Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 20% and 21% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.

Outlook and Conclusion
At the current market price of Rs.484.15, the stock is trading at 8.61 x FY12E and 7.41 x FY13E respectively.
Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY12E and FY13E is seen at Rs.56.21 and Rs.65.36 respectively.
Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 20% and 21% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.
On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 5.41 x for FY12E and 4.71 x for FY13E.
Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 2.41 x and 1.82 x respectively for FY12E and FY13E.
We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.547.00 for Medium term investment.



 Buy Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. For Target 1380


Source:vikas parshuram samwatsare
Investment Highlights
* Q3 FY12 Results Update
TCS Ltd has reported consolidated net profit of Rs 28027.70 million for the quarter ended on December 31, 2011 as against Rs 23698.30 million in the same quarter last year, an increase of 18.27%. It has reported net sales of Rs 132039.90 million for the quarter ended on December 31, 2011 as against Rs 96633.50 million in the same quarter last year, a rise of 36.64%. Total income grew by 33.06% to Rs.131167.10 million from Rs. 98575.60 million in the same quarter last year. During the quarter, it reported earnings of Rs 14.32 a share, registering 18.27% growth over prior year period.

Outlook and Conclusion
 *  At the current market price of Rs.1221.00, the stock is trading at 22.37 x FY12E and 19.59 x FY13E respectively.
 *  Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY12E and FY13E is seen at Rs.54.59 and Rs. 62.34 respectively.
 *  Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 24% and 20% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.
 *  On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 15.69 x for FY12E and 13.78 x for FY13E.
*  Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 6.79 x and 5.03 x respectively for FY12E and FY13E.
 *  We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.1380.00 for Medium to Long term investment.


 Buy Divis Laboratories Ltd For Target 869 


Source:vikas parshuram samwatsare
Investment Highlights
Q3 FY12 Results Update
Divis Laboratories Ltd disclosed a phenomenon rise in standalone net profit for the quarter ended Dec 2011. During the quarter, the profit of the company surged 20.64% to Rs 1225.50 million from Rs 1015.80 million in the same quarter previous year. Net sales for the quarter for the quarter rose 32.98% to Rs 4174.20 million from Rs 3139.00 million, when compared with the prior year period. It reported earnings of Rs 9.24 a share during the quarter, registering 20.51% increase over previous year period.

Outlook and Conclusion
 * At the current market price of Rs.756.00, the stock is trading at 18.98 x FY12E and 16.19 x FY13E respectively.
 * Earning per share (EPS) of the company for the earnings for FY12E and FY13E is seen at Rs.38.83 and Rs.45.51 respectively.
 * Net Sales and PAT of the company are expected to grow at a CAGR of 29% and 21% over 2010 to 2013E respectively.
 * On the basis of EV/EBITDA, the stock trades at 13.63 x for FY12E and 11.71 x for FY13E.
 * Price to Book Value of the stock is expected to be at 4.17x and 3.32 x respectively for FY12E and FY13E.
 * We expect that the company will keep its growth story in the coming quarters also. We recommend ‘BUY’ in this particular scrip with a target price of Rs.869.00 for Medium to Long term investment.



 Trading Calls For Monday 12/3 - Buy IDBI for target of 126 with stop loss of 107 . . . . . . . . . Comments - In daily chart scrip has given triangle pattern upward breakout at 111 levels with increasing volume supported by positive indicators indicates possible uptrend. From here near term possible target price comes to 126




Trading Calls For Monday 12/3 - Buy Cairn India for target of 400 with stop loss of 366 . . . . . . . . Comments - After falling from the high of 400, scrip made a low of 355 & from there, on Friday shotup with increasing volume supported by positive indicators & gave upward breakout of its falling trendline at 370 levels, indicates possible uptrend. From here near term possible target price comes to 400.
 
T rading Calls For Monday 12/3 - Buy State Bank Of India above 2243 for target of 2393 with stop loss of 2200 . . . . . . . . . . Comments - In daily chart scrip has formed double bottom at 2114 & 2105 levels respectively. From there it started moving upward & on Friday it shot up & closed positive forming bullish candle, indicates possible uptrend. Now on upper side it has immediate falling trendline double bottom upward breakout at 2243 levels. Now on Monday if scrip crosses its immediate resistance of 2243 then it will complete formation of double bottom & from there possible target comes to 2393
 
 
 
Trading Calls For Monday 12/3 - Buy PNB for target of 1021 with stop loss of 940 . . . . . . . . . Comments - After making high of 1090 (22/02/12) scrip was in correction mode forming lower tops & lower bottoms & made a low of 889 (27/02/12). From there scrip started moving in a sideways zone for 1 week & on Friday it has given upward breakout of its falling trendline at 946 levels forming bullish candle supported by positive indicators, indicates possible uptrend. From here near term possible target comes to 1021, in between 983 is 200 DMA resistance
 
 
 
Trading Calls For Monday 12/3 - Buy L&T for target of 1398 with stop loss of 1272 . . . . . . . . Comments - In daily chart scrip has given falling Wedge pattern upward breakout at 1280 levels & closed above its 10 day’s moving average resistance at 1302 with increasing volume supported by positive indicators, indicates possible uptrend from here near term possible target price comes to 1398.
 
 VIKAS PARSHURAM SAMWATSARE AND SAI PARSADAM SHARE TIPS BSETIPS NSETIPS
 
 
RBI lowers Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 75 bps to 4.75% effective from 10- March that will inject INR 480 billion of liquidity into the banking system.
 
 
VIKAS PARSHURAM SAMWATSARE COPYRIGHT 2012  





Saturday, December 31, 2011

Weekend call - Sell BAJAJ AUTO for target of 1453 - 1348 with stop loss of 1655. . . . . . . Comments -- As per weekly chart from the bottom of 1293 (B1) to the top of 1822 (T3) scrip was in rising trend, forming higher tops & higher bottoms. At 1739 level scrip has changed it’s formation & formed it’s 1st lower top (T4) signaling possible changed of trend. At 1622 levels scrip has given downward breakout of rising trendline drawn by connecting all rising bottoms from B1 to B4 giving 2nd reversal signal. From there near term possible target comes to 1453 & mid term 1348. Now on lower side scrip has immediate support of it’s higher bottom B4 at 1566 & 30 weeks moving average support at 1552 levels. If it closes & sustain below this, then it will complete the formation of lower top & lower bottom & may go further down to form new lower bottoms & lower tops signaling change of trend. On upper side it has immediate 10 day’s moving average resistance at 1615 & if it crosses this then 1645 & 1650 are 30 & 60 day’s average as well as rising trendline resistances.

 Weekend call - Sell ITC for target 192 – 187 - 162 with stop loss of 217. (Below 187 major selling expected) . . . . . . . . . Comments -- In monthly chart from the bottom of 66 (B1) to the top of 216 (T4) scrip was in rising trend forming higher tops & higher bottoms. Since last 6 months i.e. from July to December scrip is moving in a range bound area between” 211 to 185 levels, forming bearish Hanging man pattern at top & indicators has started giving negative divergence forming lower tops & lower bottoms. (In between only in October month it has formed new high at 216 level & formed bullish candle. Again in November & December month it has started forming lower tops at 215 & 208 & bottoms at 189 & 192 levels respectively with increasing volume), signaling weakness in the scrip. Now on upper side if scrip is not crossing it’s all time high of 216 & breaking it’s major trendline support of 192 & weekly moving average support of 187 then it will confirm trend reversal forming lower tops & lower bottoms & from there near term possible target comes to 162.
 Weekend call - Sell SUN PHARMA for target of 448 - 392 with stop loss of 546. . . . . . . . . . . Comments -- As per the Elliot waves counting scrip has begin it’s final upward movement (5th wave) from the bottom of 190 (B1) (31/03/09) & formed top T4 at 539 (29/07/2011) levels forming higher tops & higher bottoms. From there scrip is moving in a sideways zone between 540 & 448 levels. From high of 511 (T3) to 540 (T5) scrip was forming higher tops & higher bottoms, but indicators has started forming lower tops & lower bottoms giving negative divergence, signaling weakness in the scrip. In last December month scrip has given downward breakout of it’s long term rising trendline [drawn by connecting higher bottoms of 4.50 (29/01/1999) & 190 (31/03/2009) (adjusted price)] at 516 levels with increasing volume, forming bearish candle, supported by negative indicators, indicates weakness in the scrip. Now on lower side scrip has immediate support at 448 levels. If it breaks this then it will come out of it’s sideways movement, giving downward breakout , & it will start forming lower tops & lower bottoms signaling trend reversal i.e. from up trend to down trend & may go further down to form new lower bottoms around 392 levels. If we assume that wave 5 terminated at 540 levels then, 38%, 50% & 62% retracement of it comes to 407 – 365 – 323. 38%, 50% & 62% retracement of the whole cycle from bottom of wave-1 to top of wave- 5 are 336 – 272 – 208.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

SAI KRIPA STOCK MARKET AND MCX FROM VIKAS P SAMWATSARE

Weekend Call - Buy ADITYA BIRLA NUVO for target of 811 with stop loss of 729 . . . . . . . . Comments - From the top of 930 scrip started coming down forming lower tops & lower bottoms & formed bottom at 735 levels. At 774 levels (21/12/11) stochastic has started giving positive divergence from oversold zone, crossing it’s moving average at 7.80 levels & closed at 10.04 levels. On Thursday when scrip has formed new low at 748.75 stochastic quoting at 11.02 & on Friday at 14.90 indicating possible reversal from current level. Now on Monday on lower side if scrip is not breaking it’s double bottom formed on Thursday & Friday at 735 & 738 levels respectively & crosses it’s Friday’s high of 764 then it may go up to 811 levels which is 10 day’s moving average as well as 38% retracement resistance of the fall from 930 to 735.
 
Weekend Call - Sell HINDLACO for target of 112 - 103 with stop loss of 128 . . . . . . . . . . Comments - After forming top at 140 level scrip is moving with in falling channel forming lower tops & lower bottoms. Upper band of this channel resistance comes to 126 & lower support at 112. Right now scrip is quoting near to it’s upper band channel resistance. At 123 level it has given downward breakout of it’s rising trendline, indicates weakness in the scrip. From here near term possible target comes to 112 – 103.

Weekend Call - Sell HDFC for target 633 - 628 with stop loss of 670. (Below 628 may come down to 602) . . . . . . .. . . .Comments - In daily chart scrip is moving with in falling channel. Upper resistance of this comes to 666 & lower support at 600. Right now scrip is quoting near to it’s major upper channel resistance & all indicators are quoting in over bought zone. After a substantial rise from the bottom of 600 (B3), on Friday scrip made top of 666(T3) i.e. near to it’s major channel resistance as well as 200 DMA & closed at 660 forming bearish hanging man pattern at top, indicates possible fall. Now on Monday if scrip is not crosses it’s major channel resistance of 666 & breaks it’s immediate support of 651 then it may come down to 633 – 628 levels. Below 628 again it may come down to touch it’s lower band of channel support at 602.

Weekend Call - Sell AXIS BANK for target of 810 with stop loss of 905. (If close below 810 then possible target come to 710) . . . . . . . . . . Comments - After giving double top downward breakout at 910, scrip made a low of 810 achieving target of right top T2) & gave around 36% pull back rally of the fall from 1052 to 810, making top of 895 near to it’s trendline resistance & closed at 878. Now on upper side it has immediate trendline as well DMA resistance at 901 levels. On Monday if it is not crossing it’s upper resistance level of 901 & breaking it’s Friday’s low of 866 then it may come down to 810 (B3) levels. On lower side if it closes below 810 (B3) then it will continue it’s lower tops lower bottoms formation & may go further down to form new lower bottom around 710 which is the target price of it’s 1st top T1.

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

SAI KRIPA STOCK MARKET AND MCX FROM VIKAS P SAMWATSARE

Intraday Day Trading Tips for 22 December 2011, Stock Tips for Today, Free Intraday Tips, Intraday Stock Tips for Today

Stock market Intraday Free tips, day trading tips, day trading strategies, options trading, intraday free trading tips, intraday tips for today, intraday tips for 22  Dec 2011


Script
Buy / Sell
CMP
Tgt
SL
Bank of Baroda
Buy
671.15
690.00
664.00
Aarti Ind
Buy
47.50
54.00
47.00
ITC
Buy
202.10
210.00
199.00
BS Transcomm
Buy
119.80
132.00
118.00
Cairn India
Buy
318.80
331.00
315.00
Ruchi Soya
Buy
96.90
102.00
95.90
Lupin
Buy
435.75
452.00
431.00
Mahindra Holidays
Buy
278.95
292.00
276.00
Jain Irrigation
Buy
81.65
87.00
80.75
Balarampur Chini
Buy
35.50
37.00
35.00
Shri Lakshmi Cotsyn
Buy
102.45
107.00
101.00
Everonn
Buy
351.20
364.00
347.00
Patni Comp
Sell
445.00
415.00
449.00
Subex
Sell
23.65
21.50
24.00
IDFC
Sell
98.80
93.00
100.50
Indian Hotel
Sell
52.35
49.00
53.00
Bajaj Auto
Sell
1616.05
1570.00
1635.00
Apollo Tyres
Sell
55.50
52.00
56.20
Hindalco
Sell
123.00
119.00
124.50
Gitanjali Gems
Sell
312.55
300.00
316.00

Tuesday, November 8, 2011

VIKAS PARSHURAM SAMWATSARE

Avoid sugar stocks 

 

Bullish about Hindustan Oil Exploration

Buy Delta Corp with a stop of 100

Vijaya Bank is good investment

Buy Dena Bank for investment purpose

Wait and watch Bank of India stock

Astute investors using ingenious strategies to pocket short-term gains in stocks & futures trading

Draft real estate regulation Bill to be made public this week

India call rate up on higher demand in new reporting fortnight

Rupee snaps 3-day rally on $ demand, lacklustre shares

Wall St gains on news Berlusconi will resign

 

Wall Street flat as Italy further clouds debt picture

 

Diamond houses cut a raw deal as prices fall; demand for diamonds tends to rise

 

 


Monday, October 10, 2011

PARSADAM STOCK MARKET PARK

BIG BOSS
VIKAS PARSHURAM SAMWATSARE
STOCK MARKET TIPS
DATED 11/10/11

Lovable Lingerie

Recommendation: Buy

Uptrend


Last Close: Rs 468.25

Target: Rs 495

Stop Loss: Rs 440


Lovable is showing the signs of bottoming out after a continuous decline of four weeks. It was able to give close above its short-term moving average with good volume, indicating short-term trend reversal. One can go long on minor decline around 450-455.



LIC Housing

Recommendation: Buy

Breakout


Last Close: Rs 223.85

Target: Rs 235

Stop Loss: Rs 212


LIC Housing is outperforming the broader market fall by moving into sideways and holding above its long- term moving average for quite a long time, indicating a strong hold of bulls in this counter. A move above 225 will confirm range trading breakout.


Biocon
Recommendation: Sell

Downtrend


Last Close: Rs 345

Target: Rs 330

Stop Loss: Rs 355


The stock is continuously facing major supply in the 348-352 range, which is seeing major selling pressure. The stock is trading below its 200-DMA which indicates downtrend in this counter. The bounce on the higher side is coming with very low volume is major sign of weaknes.


Tata Global

Recommendation: Buy

Pullback


Last Close: Rs 85.65

Target: Rs 95

Stop Loss: Rs 80


The stock has taken a major support on 61.8% Fibonacci retracement after a relentless fall which is a sign of corrective pullback rally. It has given a fresh upmove with strong above-average volume, indicating bullish strength. One can go long on decline around 83.

Bombay Dyeing


Recommendation: Buy

Breakout


Last Close: Rs 397.25

Target: Rs 420

Stop Loss: Rs 374


The stock has given a breakout from its past six days range and has given a close above its short-term as well as long-term moving average which indicates a strong bullish momentum in this counter. Buy on minor decline around 386-389 mark for a strong upmove
.
ITC
Recommendation: Buy

Market price:
Rs 200

Target price:
Rs 224

ITC is a safe haven' for investors because of its strong earnings visibility, dominant leadership, inelastic demand of cigarettes, domestic consumption story and solid fundamentals. We value the stock at a target P/E of 24x based on its FY13E EPS.


Dish TV


Recommendation: Buy

Market price:
Rs 79.50

Target price:
Rs 96.8

Continued improvement in EBIDTA margins, expansion of value-added services, increase in transmission bandwidth adding new channel capabilities, and linage with Essel group bode well. Our DCF valuation suggests target price.


Coromandel Int'l

Recommendation: Buy

Market price:
Rs 301

Target price:
Rs 350

Coromandel International is a part of the Murugappa Group. Rising population trend, demand of agri inputs, strategic deal with QAFCO and planning to open 200 rural retail stores in AP, Karnataka by 2012, augurs well for future growth.


Aditya Birla Nuovo


Recommendation: Buy

Market price:
Rs 897

Target price:
Rs 1,100

ABNL is a diversified conglomerate with leading presence in carbon black, financial services and fashion, Telecom and Lifestyle business. Applying the SOTP method to its FY12 earnings, we value the company at Rs 1,100.


TTK Prestige


Recommendation: Buy

Market price: Rs 2,814

Target price: Rs 3,245

TTK Prestige operates in the kitchen appliances segment comprising pressure cookers, non-stick cookware. Its Q2 FY12 sales jumped by 52% and PAT jumped 55% y-o-y. With strong brand value, leadership position, and growth visibility augurs well for TTK.


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